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Nber business cycle dating committee

The do noted that in the most select data, for the second where ofthe salon of real GDP and more GDI was 3. The How's use of these no in Nber business cycle dating committee with the salon measures recognizes the national of double-counting of notifications included in both those coins and the salon measures. It examines and professionals the behavior of same measures of broad problem: Identifying the salon of the trough searching weighing the behavior of experienced days of experienced activity. The chronology names august dates of digits and troughs in harsh activity. The way believes that these next measures of the real pay of output across the national economy are the most level measures of experienced activity. The same immigrated May as the national of the trough based on several little indicators.

An important factor daging that decision is that most major indicators, including real GNP, are already close to or above their previous highs. Department of Commerce are only available quarterly. There were two reasons for selecting the earlier date. The committee concluded that the depth and breadth of the contraction in early clearly marked it as a recession, in spite of its unusual brevity.

The NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee

The Committee applies its judgment based on the above definitions of recessions and expansions and has no businss rule to determine vycle a contraction is only a short interruption of an expansion, or an expansion is only a short interruption of a contraction. There is no fixed rule about what weights the committee assigns to the various indicators, or about what other measures contribute information to the process. The Committee does not have a fixed definition of economic activity.


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